eDocuments to dominate the personal identification market, says new report

eDocuments are set to dominate personal ID, growing their market share to around 90% of the global market by 2021, according to a new Smithers Pira report.

In the last 20 years physical ID documents have gained electronic capabilities through incorporation of an IC chip (eDocument), and more recently mobile devices have emerged as the electronic-only carrier of personal ID (mDocument), with biometrics as identifier and cryptography applied to respect privacy. All of which point to a decreased need for physical identification documents and their security print features. The Future of Personal ID to 2021 aims to strike a balance between the exciting digital/mobile future, and the issues that still need to be addressed today to ascertain trustworthy documents and identification for all citizens.

Standards, industry associations, and legislation continue to set the tone for an interoperable and trusted ecosystem that fosters innovation and control of the physical and digital identity space. This is partly down to the growing problem of cybercrime and data breaches, calling for the need of protection of privacy against a backdrop of the unbridled spread and accessibility of personal identification data.

Rude Lion, author of the report

There is still a need to protect ID documents from counterfeiting, alteration or theft. The latest trend is integrated design, which has delivered more engaging themes and creative use of security features than in past designs. The anticipated result is that the public will become more aware of security features and an active participant in authenticating documents – which raises the barrier for counterfeiters. Integrated design will also protect electronic elements – antennas and integrated circuits.

In 2016, Asia represents more than 60% of the global market for personal ID. Any large-scale initiative in this region as a whole disproportionally affects market assessments and forecasts. For example if China’s one-child policy becomes more relaxed, this will have a long-term positive effect on the number of national IDs within this region – increasing their global market share.

The Future of Personal ID to 2021 examines the world of physical and digital
identity. It covers a wide range of technology categories and identifies cutting-edge developments that determine the future direction of identification. It analyses the market size of physical credentials and the components they are made of in nine end-use markets across eight regions of the world. The report further explores the dimensions and drivers of digital identity, and their possible ramifications for the next five years.


The Future of Personal ID to 2021 is available for £4,200.
For press enquiries or a more detailed article, please contact Julie Bostock:
Tel: +44 (0) 1372 802 035
jbostock@smithers.com