The Future of Banknotes to 2021

The global market for banknotes is projected to increase from $11.5 billion in 2016 to $15 billion in 2021.

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Product detail
Product type: Market report
Date of publication: 11 Dec 2016
Product format: Hard Copy, Digital Copy
Number of tables: 81

The Smithers Pira report The Future of Banknotes to 2021 provides comprehensive forecasts for the future demand (value and volume) of printed banknotes. The report projects a steady progression –5.5% CAGR – from a global market value of $11.5 billion in 2016 to $15.0 billion in 2021.

This report also includes in-depth analysis of broader trends in the banknote market, such as the threat posed by electronic payment platforms, cutting edge developments in substrates and anti-counterfeiting features, and the increasing availability of integrated security solutions.

Description

Our exclusive content:

  • Global demand for banknote printing and security features, broken down by substrate, print/security type, and geographic region
  • Analysis of banknote market technology drivers projected to impact the market through to 2021
  • More than 75 tables and figures provide easy-to-use data and strategic insight

What methodolgy is used?

The Future of Banknotes to 2021 is the product of extensive primary and secondary research. The primary research includes a wide-ranging expert interview programme including public and private sector organisations drawn from across the worldwide banknote printing industry.

This work is complimented and contextualised by secondary research drawing on a thorough literature analysis of market and company reports, magazine and journal abstracts, conference presentations and papers, international print and manufacturer associations, and trade press. This process combined with Smithers’ deep expertise in the security print sector allows it to produce a report that gives unique insight into the evolution of this vital and lucrative market.

What will you discover?

  • Quantitative market projections for participants at every stage of the value chain for banknote printing
  • An exclusive, in-depth data set that breaks down and quantifies the worldwide banknote printing market for 2011-2021 by print volume and value
  • Future demand for innovative substrates and security features – overt, covert and forensic. 

Who should buy this report?

  • Government printers and central banks
  • Commercial printers serving the banknote sector
  • Suppliers of security inks and substrates
  • Manufacturers and integrators of security print features
  • Consultants and analysts

Table of Contents

Executive summary

Introduction and Methodology

  • Report Scope
  • Report objectives 
  • Research Process
  • Methodology
  • Definitions

Market drivers 2011-2021

  • Introduction
  • The rise of e-payment
    • E-Payment cards
    • Internet shopping
  • Automation of cash cycles
  • Financial pressures on central banks
    • Shrinking state budgets
    • Rising competition in banknote printing
  • Central banknote policies
    • Withdrawal of the €500 note
    • Clean note policies
    • Banknote cleaning technologies
    • Rising use of ATMs
      • Availability of Cash recyclers
  • The demand for durability
    • Paper
      • Coatings
    • Polymer
    • Composite
    • Substrates choice and the impact on the future of security features 
  • Synopsis – The key market drivers for banknote printing 2016-2021

The banknote substrate market 2011-2021

  • Introduction
  • Substrates
    • Cotton paper
      • Coatings
    • Polymer
    • Composite
  • Synopsis – The global banknote substrate market 2016-2021

The banknote security and print features markets 2011-2021

  • Introduction
  • World demand for security ink 2011-2021
    • Innovation in security inks
  • Security feature types
    • Level 1 (overt)
      • DOVIDS
        • Holograms
        • Other DOVIDS
      • Threads
      • Watermarking
      • Windows
      • Security print processes
        • Intaglio
        • Microprint
        • Other
    • Level 2 (covert)
      • Magnetic features
      • UV and IR features
      • Taggants
      • Security fibres
      • Other covert
    • Level 3 (Forensic)
      • Forensic magnetic features
      • Forensic optical effects
      • Other forensic
  • The evolution of the integrated security feature
  • Synopsis security features – the State of the Art in 2016
  • Synopsis security features –  Developments to 2021

The geographic markets for banknotes 2011-2021

  • Introduction
  • The global economics of banknote printing
  • Western Europe
    • The Euro Zone
      • Market forecast
      • Industry forecast
    • UK
      • Market forecast
      • Industry forecast
    • Other Western Europe
      • Market forecast
      • Industry forecast
  • Eastern Europe
    • Russia
      • Market forecast
      • Industry forecast
    • Poland
      • Market forecast
      • Industry forecast
    • Other Eastern Europe
      • Market forecast
      • Industry forecast
  • North America
    • Canada
      • Market forecast
      • Industry forecast
    • US
      • Market forecast
      • Industry forecast
  • South & Central America
    • Brazil
      • Market forecast
      • Industry forecast
    • Other South & Central America
      • Market forecast
      • Industry forecast
  • Asia
    • China
      • Market forecast
      • Industry forecast
    • India
      • Market forecast
      • Industry forecast
    • Japan
      • Market forecast
      • Industry forecast
    • Other Asia
      • Market forecast
      • Industry forecast
  • Middle East
    • Market forecast
    • Industry forecast
  • Africa
    • Market forecast
    • Industry forecast
  • Australasia
    • Market forecast
    • Industry forecast
  • Synopsis – The global banknote printing market 2016-2021 

Tables and Figures

List of tables:

Market size and growth rate for Banknote production, 2011–2021($ million)

Market split between state and private banknote printing companies (units printed)

Global market forecast print and security feature, 2011–2021 ($ million)

Global market for banknotes by substrates 2011-2016 ($ million, units printed)

Top ten national banknote markets 2011–2021 (units printed)

Banknote denominations in key national markets

Global market banknote production by geographic region, 2011–2021 ($ million/units printed)

Key technical drivers for the future of banknote printing

Key economic drivers for the future of banknote printing

Cutting edge technology developments – Substrates

Cutting edge technology developments – Overt print and security features

Cutting edge technology developments – Covert/Forensic print and security features

Volume of counterfeit notes in circulation 2011-2016

Split between cash and card payments in key national markets

Split between physical store and internet purchases in key national markets

Installed global base of ATMs, sub-divided by key national markets

Global capacity for banknote printing in the public and private sector

Impact on euro volumes of withdrawing the €500 note

Schematic of Innovia Guardian production process

Schematic of a composite banknote

Schematic of Spectra cleaning system

Synopsis of key disruptive market trends

World banknote substrate market 2011-2021 ($ million, and volume)

Leading banknote paper suppliers worldwide, and print volume potential 2011-2021

Matrix of the different performance characteristics of paper, polymer and composite construction notes

Number of countries using polymer substrates 1990-2016

Banknote substrate demand by region 2011-2016 ($ million, and volume)

Global market for print/security features 2011-2021 ($ million, and volume)

Global market for DOVIDS on banknotes 2011-2021 ($ million, and volume)

Illustrative picture of a state of the art DOVID

Another illustrative picture of a state-of-the-art DOVID

Global market for threads on banknotes 2011-2021 ($ million)

Illustrative picture of a state-of-the-art thread technology for banknotes

Global market for watermarking features on banknotes 2011-2021 ($ million)

Illustrative picture of a state-of-the-art watermark for banknotes

Global market for window features on banknotes 2011-2021 ($ million)

Illustrative picture of a state-of-the-art window feature for banknotes

Global market for security print features on banknotes 2011-2021 ($ million)

Illustrative picture of a state-of-the-art microprint feature for banknotes

Illustrative picture of QR code on a banknote

Global market for other print processes on banknotes 2011-2021 ($ million)

Global market for ink supplies for banknote printing (litres, $ million)

Global market magnetic machine readable features on banknotes 2011-2021 ($ million)

Global market for magnetic ink supplies for banknote printing (litres, $ million)

Global market for covert UV/IR features on banknotes 2011-2021 ($ million)

Global market for covert UV/IR ink supplies for banknote printing (litres, $ million)

Illustrative picture of an illuminated UV features on a banknote

Global market for taggants in banknotes 2011-2021 ($ million)

Global market for security fibres in banknotes 2011-2021 ($ million)

Global market for Level 3 features in banknotes 2011-2021 ($ million)

Illustrative picture of a forensic security feature on a banknote

Global market forecast for banknotes printing by region, 2011–2021 ($ million/units)

Western European market for banknotes by substrate, 2011-2021 ($ million/volume)

Western European market for banknotes by print/security feature, 2011-2021 ($ million)

Euro Zone market for banknotes by print/security feature and substrates, 2011-2021 ($ million)

UK market for banknotes by print/security feature and substrates, 2011-2021 ($ million)

Eastern European market for banknote by substrate, 2011-2021 ($ million/volume)

Eastern European market for banknotes by print/security feature, 2011-2021 ($ million)

Russian market for banknotes by print/security feature and substrates, 2011-2021 ($ million)

Polish market for banknotes by print/security feature and substrates, 2011-2021 ($ million)

North American market for banknote by substrate, 2011-2021 ($ million/volume)

North American market for banknotes by print/security feature, 2011-2021 ($ million)

Canadian market for banknotes by print/security feature and substrates, 2011-2021 ($ million)

US market for banknotes by print/security feature and substrates, 2011-2021 ($ million)

Latin American market for banknotes by substrate, 2011-2021 ($ million/volume)

Latin American market for banknotes by print/security feature, 2011-2021 ($ million)

Brazilian market for banknotes by print/security feature and substrates, 2011-2021 ($ million)

Asian market for banknotes by substrate, 2011-2021 ($ million/volume)

Asian market for banknotes by print/security feature, 2011-2021 ($ million)

Chinese market for banknotes by substrate, 2011-2021 ($ million/volume)

Chinese market for banknotes by print/security feature, 2011-2021 ($ million)

Indian market for banknotes by substrate, 2011-2021 ($ million/volume)

Indian market for banknotes by print/security feature, 2011-2021 ($ million)

Japanese market for banknotes by substrate, 2011-2021 ($ million/volume)

Japanese market for banknotes by print/security feature, 2011-2021 ($ million)

Middle Eastern market for banknotes by substrate, 2011-2021 ($ million/volume)

Middle Eastern market for banknotes by print/security feature, 2011-2021 ($ million)

African market for banknotes by substrate, 2011-2021 ($ million/volume)

African market for banknotes by print/security feature, 2011-2021 ($ million)

Australasian market for banknotes by substrate, 2011-2021 ($ million/volume)

Australasian market for banknotes by print/security feature, 2011-2021 ($ million)