The Future of Banknote Technology to 2024

Despite a climate of restricted information, The Future of Banknote Technology to 2024 is one of the few published reports to provide comprehensive coverage of the banknote printing industry.

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Product detail
Product type: Market report
Date of publication: 18 Sep 2014
Product format: Digital Copy, Hard Copy
Number of pages: 178
Number of tables: 41
Number of figures: 85
Forecast range: 2014-2024

The Future of Banknote Technology to 2024 assesses in detail each of the established and emerging technologies used in banknote production, and forecasts how the technologies are likely to evolve over the next ten years. Containing exclusive quantitative and qualitative forecasts for more than 50 technologies, this major new study is the ultimate planning tool for central banks, high security printers, state printing works and all technology suppliers into this lucrative industry.

Description

Information about banknote production is hard to come by. For reasons of national security, state printing works and their commercial partners are not obliged to release much information publicly; individuals within the industry are reluctant to expand on what can be found.

However, despite this climate of restricted information, The Future of Banknote Technology to 2024 is one of the few published reports to provide comprehensive coverage of the banknote printing industry. The report uses a wide range of secondary sources (internet research, patents, corporate literature, press reports and specialist magazines, along with Smithers Pira's exclusive database and market reports) to back up primary research: telephone and email interviews with material suppliers, security printers and industry experts.

FIND OUT ABOUT

  • Drivers and trends in banknotes substrates and printing technologies, including security features
  • Non-printing security technologies used to protect banknotes in circulation
  • Disruptive technologies: crypto-currencies, such as Bitcoin, electronic payments, smartphone payments

HOW WILL THIS MARKET INTELLIGENCE REPORT BENEFIT YOU?

  • Get detailed information about the technologies used in a secretive industry
  • Understand the major disruptive scenarios that may come to radically alter the printing of banknotes over the next decade
  • Use Smithers Pira's exclusive market analysis and forecasting to position your company successfully in this dynamic and complex market

WHO SHOULD BUY THIS REPORT?

  • Central banks
  • State printing works
  • High-security printers
  • Banknote substrate suppliers
  • Security technology suppliers
  • Consultants and analysts

WHAT'S INCLUDED IN THE PRICE?

  • An electronic version of the report in PDF format. You may add a hardcopy version (mailed to you) to the electronic version - see the order form for details
  • Five-year market forecasts
  • Analyses of key trends, strategic forecasts and extensive tables and figures

Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 

INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY

BANKNOTE DEMAND: DRIVERS AND TRENDS TO 2024

  • Ten key drivers for banknote demand
  • Population growth
  • Economic growth and decline
  • Political policy regarding money supply within the state
  • Central bank policies for clean banknotes
  • Changes in the currency type
  • Changes in counterfeiting levels
  • The current market for banknotes
  • Usage: the benefits of cash
  • The grey economy
  • Automatic teller machines
  • Banknote design
  • Alternatives to banknotes
  • Electronic money
  • Other forms of electronic money
  • Credit cards
  • Cheques
  • Trends in counterfeiting
  • Forecasts to 2024

BANKNOTE SUBSTRATES 

  • Key drivers and trends
  • Production of banknote substrates
  • Security features added by the substrate manufacturer
  • Watermarks
  • Multi-tonal watermarks
  • Duotone Watermarks
  • Electrotype watermarks
  • Pixel watermarks
  • Double sided watermarks
  • 2D barcode watermarks
  • Watermarks in polymer notes
  • Security threads
  • Stripes & straps
  • Security fibres and planchets
  • Security fibres
  • Planchets
  • Geographic trends
  • North America
  • Europe
  • Asia
  • Australasia
  • Scenarios and forecasts to 2024

BANKNOTE PRINTING 

  • Key drivers and trends
  • Plate design & engraving and production of plates by electroforming
  • Intaglio portrait design
  • Intaglio plate replication
  • Computer to intaglio plate technology (CTIP)
  • Printing of banknotes:
  • Ink-based security features added by the printer
  • Banknote ink suppliers
  • Intaglio printing
  • Offset printing
  • Screen printing
  • Letterpress printing
  • Hot-stamping foil
  • Digital printing
  • Colour shifting inks
  • Machine-readable optically variable ink
  • Metameric optically variable ink
  • Thermochromic inks
  • Ultraviolet inks
  • Infrared inks
  • Magnetic inksrintingmitherspira.com/marketreports
  • Magnetic OVI
  • DNA inks and taggants
  • Geographic trends
  • Scenarios and forecasts to 2024

BANKNOTE NON-PRINT SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES

  • Hot-stamping foil
  • Transfer foil
  • DOVIDs & holograms
  • The Pixelgram and Excelgram
  • The Kinegram
  • 3D holograms
  • Digital holograms and DOVIDs
  • Dot-matrix and image matrix
  • Electron beam DOVIDs
  • Zero order devices
  • Diffractive identification device (DID)
  • Plasmon features
  • Aztec holograms
  • Volume holograms in photopolymer
  • Other novel holograms and DOVIDs
  • OVIDs and micro-optical devices
  • Laser ablation
  • Geographic trends and forecasts to 2024

DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGIES IN BANKNOTES TO 2024

  • Bitcoin and digital cryptocurrencies
  • Micro-optical arrays
  • Windows in paper substrates
  • Durable banknote substrates
  • Photopolymer holograms
  • Zero-order diffraction devices
  • Smartphone banknote verification
  • Optically variable magnetic inks (OVMI)
  • Plasmon resonance OVDs
  • Photonic inks

The Future of Banknotes: Scenarios to 2024

  • Scenario one: continuation of the status quo to 2024.
  • Scenario two: emergence of decentralised digital currencies
  • Scenario three: a return to the Gold Standard

Tables and Figures

  • Quantities of US Federal Reserve Notes printed from 2005 to 2013
  • Quantities of US Federal Reserve Notes printed from 2005 to 2013 and forecast to 2014 (millions of banknotes).
  • Quantity of US Federal Reserve Notes in circulation 2004 to 2024 (billions of banknotes)
  • The New Threat to Cash 
  • The currency component of M1 in the USA from 1950 to 2014 and forecast to 2024 (value in billions of UD dollars).
  • Market capitalisation of Bitcoin in Q1 2013
  • Supranational Cash
  • Total Banknotes and coin in circulation in selected countries from 2005 to 2012.
  • Top 20 Countries by population growth in 2012 (percent)
  • The average real GDP growth percentage among the major global economies in the period 2008 to 2011
  • The value of banknote and coins in circulation in selected countries per inhabitant from 2005 to 2012.
  • Global poverty: Percentage share of people living on less than $1.25 USD per day and less than $10 a day.
  • Global poverty: people living on less than $1.25 USD per day (billions)
  • Percentage of the population living below $2 a day, by region 
  • ATM terminals located in selected countries number of terminals (thousands).
  • Countries with the highest percentage growth from 2011 to 2012
  • The ratio of physical cash to electronic money in the UK
  • Different forms of digital payment systems and their threat to cash
  • The Growth of Consumer Debt in the USA from 1950 to 2014
  • Delinquency Rate in the USA from 1991 to 2013 
  • The Declining use of cheques as a means of payment (millions of transactions, total for each year).
  • Currency in circulation from 2005 to 2012 and forecast to 2024
  • Six Strategies for Durable Banknote Paper
  • Banknote Paper in 2014: Commercial versus State Production
  • The Cylinder Mould Process
  • Clarity®C bubble formation
  • The countries using the Guardian® substrate in 2014
  • The Cotton Monthly Price March 2004 to 2014 - US cents per Pound
  • The system boundaries for the comparison study of paper vs. polymer
  • Products made from re-cycled polymer banknotes
  • Banknote made from De La Rue's Safeguard™ Substrate
  • SHAD H2O Switch® the watermark-like feature on Guardian® polymer notes
  • Foil stripes applied to rolls of banknote paper at the Landqart Paper Mill
  • De La Rue's Optiks®
  • The Global Production of Banknote Paper
  • Shares of Global Middle Class Consumption 2000-2050
  • The Future for Intaglio portrait design to 2024
  • The Future for Intaglio plate replication to 2024
  • The Future for Computer to Intaglio Plate Technology (CTIP) to 2024
  • The Future for Ink Based Security Features to 2024
  • The Future for Intaglio Printing to 2024
  • The Future for Offset Printing to 2024
  • The Future for Screen Printing to 2024
  • The Future for Letterpress Printing to 2024
  • The Future for Hot-stamping foil 2024
  • Global Banknote Production, Top 20 Countries.
  • Market for Commercial High Security Printers, Top 30 Countries
  • Distribution of banknote demand in Asia
  • Distribution of banknote demand in Eastern Europe
  • Distribution of banknote demand in North America
  • Quantity of US banknotes printed 1990 to 2011
  • US Currency in circulation 1993 to 2013 (billions of banknotes).
  • US Currency in circulation 2003 to 2013 (billions of banknotes).
  • Cost of printing US banknotes from 1993 to 2013 (millions of dollars)
  • Distribution of banknote demand in South America
  • Distribution of banknote demand in Western Europe
  • Distribution of banknote demand in ROW 
  • Quantities of high-denomination Euro banknotes in circulation from 2002 to 2013 and forecast to 2024 (millions of banknotes) 
  • Quantities of low-denomination Euro banknotes in circulation from 2002 to 2013 and forecast to 2024 (millions of banknotes) 
  • (value in billions of dollars)
  • Banknotes and coins in circulation in Japan: forecast to 2024
  • (value in billions of dollars)
  • Banknotes and coins in circulation in Turkey: forecast to 2024 (billions of dollars)
  • Banknotes and coins in circulation in the Euro area: forecast to 2024 (value in billions of dollars)
  • Banknotes and coins in circulation in the UK: forecast to 2024 (billions of dollars)
  • Banknotes and coins in circulation in the USA, forecast to 2024 (billions of dollars)
  • Value and quantities of Federal Reserve Notes (FRN) in circulation 2005 to 2012, and estimated values & quantities for 2024 (billions)
  • Value of $100 FRN in circulation from 2002 to 2012 and forecast to 2024
  • Quantity of $100 FRN in circulation from 2002 to 2012 and forecast to 2024 (billions of notes)
  • Banknotes and coins in circulation in Mexico, forecast to 2024 (billions of dollars)
  • Banknotes and coins in circulation in Canada, forecast to 2024 (billions of dollars)
  • Banknotes and coins in circulation in the Mexico, forecast to 2024 (billions of dollars)
  • Banknotes and coins in circulation in Australia, forecast to 2024 (billions of dollars)
  • The impact of Bitcoin and digital crypto-currencies to 2024
  • The impact of Micro-optical arrays to 2024
  • The future for windows in paper substrates to 2024
  • The future for durable banknote substrates to 2024
  • The future for photopolymer holograms to 2024
  • The future for zero-order diffraction services to 2024
  • The future for Smartphone banknote verification to 2024
  • The future for Optically Variable magnetic Inks to 2024
  • The future for Plasmon Resonance OVDs to 2024
  • The Future for Photonic Inks to 2024
  • Overview of Top 10 Disruptive Technologies in Banknotes to 2024
  • Chemical resistance tests for Lippmann Hologram foil used in banknote applications
  • Sample note with two colour Kinegram voLume® feature
  • Volume holograms on banknotes in 2019 and 2024
  • The DID® from Hologram Industries.
  • Diffractive Identify Device (DID®) on Philippines banknote
  • The DID® feature on banknotes in 2019 and 2024
  • The EuroBiljet application for smartphones
  • Smartphone verification of banknotes in 2019 and 2024
  • Banknotes with the SPARK® feature
  • Micro-encapsulation of Optically Variable Magnetic Inks
  • Optically Variable Magnetic Inks in 2019 and 2024
  • Plasmon Resonance OVDs in 2019 and 2024
  • Variable spacing resulting in colour shift in photonic crystals
  • Photonic inks in 2019 and 2024
  • The expansion of $100 through fractional-reserve banking
  • Summary of Three Forecasts of Banknote Technology to 2024
  • Summary of 'continuation' forecast
  • Summary of 'decentralised' digital currencies
  • Summary of options created by a return to the Gold Standard
  • The global value of remittance flows to 2024 ($ USD billions)
  • Fiat Money Quantity
  • The value of gold and oil versus fiat currencies
  • Wealth of the 1% versus 99%, USA real average after tax income
  • Ultra-high net worth individuals, by country 2013.
  • World Foreign Exchange Reserves
  • The top ten countries' store of gold in 2014
  • Chinese Gross Imports of Gold from Hong Kong (metric tons)
  • Top gold producing countries in 2013
  • Trends in the top five gold producing countries and forecasts to 2024.